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Notes, Quotes From 2004 Campaign in Maine

Fri Oct 1, 2:35 PM ET

By RON FOURNIER, AP Political Writer

President Bush and Sen. John Kerry could end up dividing Maine's four electoral votes.

Unlike most states, which have winner-take-all systems for their electoral votes, Maine gives two to the statewide winner and one to the victor in each of Maine's two congressional districts.

Kerry's advisers say their polls show the Democrat leading Bush statewide and in the state's southern congressional district. The northern district is the most competitive.

Bush's advisers say their boss is slightly ahead of Kerry statewide. Public polls show the race tight.

Democrat Al Gore won the state 49 percent to 44 percent in 2000, with independent Ralph Nader taking nearly 6 percent of the vote. Democrats are suing in an effort to keep Nader off the ticket this year.

Maine is one of several states won by Gore that Bush has a chance to put into the GOP column Nov. 2. The biggest threats for Kerry are Wisconsin, Iowa and New Mexico, his advisers say. They are a bit less worried about Minnesota, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Maine, but acknowledge that Bush is pressuring them.

Bush's family owns an oceanside estate in Kennebunkport, a Republican bastion.

The campaigns spent moderately on television commercials during spring and summer, with each spending about $1.5 million before Labor Day. In September, both sides increased their advertising as polls showed the race tightening.

Now, both sides are saturating the airwaves with ads, with each spending about $250,000 a week in the state.

BY THE NUMBERS:

4 — Number of electoral votes, which can be split. Two go to the statewide winner, one to the winner of each of Maine's two congressional districts.

96.4 — Percentage of white residents, highest in the nation.

57 million — Pounds of lobster hauled in Maine waters in 2002.

89 percent — Portion of Maine that is forested, nation's highest.

QUOTABLE:

_ "In my opinion, this is the most important election in my time. If we continue in the direction we're headed now, we'll go on to great things. If we head the other way, to the left, we're headed for disaster." — Bush supporter Tom Aasbo, who operates a hunting camp in the northern town of Oxbow.

_ "To me, this is a big issue. It controls your life. It completely changes your lifestyle, and it is a serious disease." — Diabetes sufferer Janet Jones, who backs Kerry because of his support for stem cell research.

_ "I'm an independent voter and this has been a frustrating experience for me. I'm obviously concerned about the environment and I'm concerned about where the president is going. But I don't hear a lot about the Kerry campaign and what they're going to do about it." — Pat White of York, CEO of the Maine Lobstermen's Association.

___

NOTABLE:

The Bush family has owned an oceanside estate in Kennebunkport for a century. Republicans outnumber Democrats 2-to-1 there, and Bush carried the seaside town 1,291 to 935 in 2000.

Maine allows voters to register on Election Day.

Independents are the largest voting bloc in Maine, and the state has a well-earned independent streak. The state voted for Texan Ross Perot ahead of George H.W. Bush in 1992.

___

WHAT TO WATCH ON ELECTION NIGHT:

Independent Ralph Nader and Green candidate David Cobb could draw enough votes to sway a tight election. Democrats are suing in an effort to remove Nader from the ballot. Keep an eye on Maine's conservative 2nd Congressional District. If Bush wins the northern district, he would get one electoral vote even if Kerry wins the state. The state's electoral votes have never been split in the 35 years since the current system was enacted.

___

IN MAINE FOUR YEARS AGO:

Gore beat Bush 49-44 percent even though Nader, on the ballot as the Green party nominee, took 5.7 percent of the vote. Gore's margin was smaller in the conservative 2nd District.

Gore had a slight advantage among independents, and big margins from women and middle-aged voters. Those who voted for Ross Perot in 1996 went 2-to-1 for Bush in 2000.

 

 

 

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